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2010年中国五大猜想

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1.2010年中国的房价将达到顶点?
1. Will China's housing prices peak in 2010?
今年中国经济成V字形强劲复苏,随之而来的是许多关于城市房价疯涨的报道。
The story of the strong V-shaped recovery of the Chinese economy this year was followed by reports of soaring housing prices in many cities.
政府已经意识到了房地产泡沫的危险性——可能造成国民经济的通货膨胀,甚至可能因为泡沫破灭,最终导致正在复苏的经济脱离正轨。政府已经出台了相关的政策措施,给火爆的房地产市场降降温。在2010年依靠政府出台的政策来调控房价,你认为这有多靠谱?
The central government is aware of the danger of a property bubble that can inflate the national economy or even burst, derailing the ongoing economic recovery. Several policy measures have been announced to cool the red-hot real estate market. Well, how much trust do you place in government policies to control housing prices in 2010?
2.中国的股市能否重回6000点?
2. Will China's stock market climb back to 6,000 points?
2年前中国股市突破6000点,而2010年股市能否重拾失地呢?当初中国股市行情十分被看好,但今天,如果你问同样的问题,有的人会拿全球经济说事儿——因为全球经济仍旧步履艰难。
Will China's stock market climb back to the 6,000-point mark it reached two years ago? The stock market was at its most bullish back then, but if you ask the same question now, some would cite a global economy still reeling from a recession.
3.2010年中国的计生政策将发生变化吗?
3. Will China's one-child policy change in 2010?
很多人相信,对于中国资源环境来讲,人口已不再是主要威胁。相反,中国的人口危机已转变成出生率过低,社会老龄化加剧以及性别比例失衡。在中国的珠江三角洲等地已经出现了技工短缺的现象,所以不久以后,我们可能将看到计生政策上的重大变革。
Many believe the population is no longer a major threat to China's resources and environment. Instead, China's population challenges have shifted to low birth rates, an aging society and a widening gender imbalance. China has already experienced a shortage of skilled workers in places like the Pearl River Delta, so it might not be long before we see major reforms.
4.2010年中国农民工能否拿到城市户口?
4. Will China's migrant workers get permanent urban residence in 2010?
中国社科院表示,在中国的工业及相关领域中,农民工们提供了50%的劳动力。然而由于户籍规定,他们却无法享受到与城市居民同等的权利。
According to the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, China's migrant workers account for around 50 percent of the labor force in industrial and related sectors. Yet they don't enjoy equal rights as city dwellers because of household registration requirements.
值得庆幸的是,这些户籍规定正在发生改变。12月初,在中国中央经济工作会议上,与会代表建议给予农村居民城市户口,这也强有力地证明了户籍制度正在变化。温家宝总理于12月底呼吁,应加快户籍制度改革的进程。
Fortunately, the rules are changing. The proposal of China's Central Economic Conference in early December to give rural residents permanent urban residency sent a strong signal. Premier Wen Jiabao's call in late December for the reform of the household registration system will surely speed up the process.
5.2010年我们是否还会经历另一场“甲流”?
5. Will we witness another global epidemic in 2010?
今年世界卫生组织宣布H1N1型流感为全球性传染病。庆幸的是,这种病毒远没有人们最初想的那样危险,而最新面世的疫苗似乎已经平息了那弥留在人们心头久久不能散去的恐惧。
The World Health Organization this year declared H1N1 a global epidemic. Fortunately, it is much less threatening than people previously believed, and newly introduced vaccines seem to have quelled lingering fears.
先是“非典”,接下来是全球范围的H5N1以及H1N1流感大爆发。全球化也无能为力。现在地球实际就是一个小村庄,这也使得病毒在几小时内,就能轻而易举地从北京传播到波士顿。2010我们是否会再次遭遇另一场“甲流”?
First there was SARS, then the global spread of H5N1 flu and now the H1N1 flu. Globalization is not helping, either. The earth now is truly a village, making it easy for a virus to travel from Beijing to Boston in a matter of hours. Will another epidemic arrive in 2010?
标签:猜想 中国
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2010-01-06 17:51 编辑:kuaileyingyu
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