Gold has reached an all-time high, breaking through the $1,100 an ounce barrier on a weaker US dollar and the continued appetite from investors for the precious metal's safe-haven attributes.
Demand continues to be strong – even Harrods, the famous Knightsbridge store, is getting in on the act by selling gold bars and coins to its upmarket customers.
Gold has returned more than 20pc over the past year but the question remains: how high can the price of gold go?
Here are the thoughts of analysts taken from around the globe.
Suki Cooper, commodities analyst, Barclays CapitalMs Cooper said: “We expect prices to maintain their upward momentum through to at least the first half of 2010, where we expect prices to average $1,140 in the second quarter. The unexpected purchase of gold by the Reserve Bank of India has only added to the positive sentiment towards gold. Even though gold's attributes have not changed, we have seen a change in attitude from investors towards gold. From the official sector through to retail investors, there has been a structural shift in the demand side.”
Jim Rogers, chairman of Singapore-based Rogers HoldingsMr Rogers argues that gold hasn't begun to peak, adding that it will climb from a nominal record near $1,100 an ounce to $2,000 an ounce in the future. He said: “Just to get back to the old high back in 1980, adjusted for inflation, the price would need to be over $2,000 now. So we’ll certainly get there some time in the next decade.”
London Bullion Market AssociationA poll of about 370 delegates at the London Bullion Market Association's annual conference predicted that gold would be at $1,181 in 12 months' time. The poll covered 368 traders, analysts, miners and central bankers.
Ellison Chu, Standard Bank AsiaThe Hong Kong based manager of precious metals at the bank expects the price of gold to maintain four-figure levels given the strong demand, particularly from Asia.
"India's purchase [India’s central bank recently bought 200 tonnes of gold] had a psychological impact on investors. They think other central banks will also buy gold for their reserves. Gold will probably hang on to these high levels. We're seeing good seasonal demand ahead of Christmas and the Chinese New Year."
努里尔·鲁比尼（Nouriel Roubini），纽约大学斯特恩商学院经济学教授在硬资产投资（Hard Assets Investor）的采访中，鲁比尼说，只有两种假定下金价才会大幅上升：通货膨胀和世界末日（Armageddon）。
Nouriel Roubini, professor of economics at New York University’s Stern School of BusinessIn an interview with Hard Assets Investor, Mr Roubini said there were only two scenarios that would see gold go much higher: inflation and Armageddon.
“We don’t have Armageddon, we don’t have inflation, so gold can maybe go slightly higher. But those people who delude themselves that gold can go to $1,500 or $2,000 are just talking nonsense. The fundamentals are not justified, and those people are just talking their books.”
David Levenstein, investment adviserWriting on Mineweb, David Levenstein, a veteran of 29 years in futures, equities, forex and bullion, said gold appeared to be on course for a shift to $1,300 because of the gloomy outlook for the dollar.
"Frankly, I cannot see any bit of news that may suddenly appear that could have a miraculously powerful effect on the value of the dollar," he wrote. "While my experience has taught me that it is very difficult to predict future prices, all the empirical evidence tends to indicate that we can expect much higher prices for gold."
2009-11-13 15:23 编辑：kuaileyingyu
Investors bought more gold than buyers of jewellery for the first time in three decades in 2009, highlighting increasing impact of speculators on bullion prices. GFMS, the consulta