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美国就业数据加剧全球经济衰退的担忧

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小编摘要:美国就业数据出现另一轮疲软后,周五股票价格回落。上月美国公司只增加了80,000个工作岗位,连续第三个月就业增长缓慢。 尽管失业率稳定在8.2%,但低于预期的就业数量,这增加了全球经济复苏正遇疲软的担忧。

美国就业数据加剧全球经济衰退的担忧

The U.S. government's closely-watched monthly employment report has become an important barometer of the state of the world's largest economy. Combined with the debt crisis in Europe, and manufacturing slowdowns in Asia, Friday's jobs report paints a picture of a global economy in decline.
"The U.S. economic recovery remains tepid and downside risks have intensified," said the International Monetary Fund's Managing Director, Christine Lagarde.
The risks include a sharp decline in business confidence, due to the failure of European leaders to find a comprehensive solution to what is now a three-year-old crisis. But Standard and Poor's Chief Equity Strategist Sam Stovall says it's not entirely the fault of Europe's leaders.
"I think politicians here in the U.S. as well have not done their job of instilling confidence on Wall Street as well as on Main Street and giving businesses reason to expand," Stovall said.
Both Lagarde and Stovall point to political discord in the U.S. Congress, and the possibility that lawmakers will once again be unable to agree on a deficit cutting plan and the expiration of tax cuts by the end of the year. Should that happen, Stovall believes the Federal Reserve is likely to step in with a third round of Quantitative Easing -- essentially pumping more dollars into the economy to stimulate growth.
"If the politicians allow us to fall off the fiscal cliff because of the sequestration, the forced cuts to medicare, to spending as well as the increases in taxes which the Congressional Budget Office has said, would likely throw us into recession," Stovall said.
Despite an increasingly dismal outlook and a Europe that most economists believe is already shrinking, Stovall says the risk of a much larger global recession remains small.
"Investors and people on Main Street are very worried that we slip back into recession, if not on our own, then at least dragged into it because of Europe and because of China, but right now the belief is that no, we probably will be able to skirt it," Stovall said.
The ratings agency projects China's economy will grow around 8 percent this year, with the U.S. economy picking up strength in the second half of 2012 with about 2 percent growth.

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2012-07-09 20:06 编辑:pliny
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